Question

What percentage of people who sign up for the SMTM potato study will complete all 4 weeks of the diet?

Resolved :30.637.5

6 comments6

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction37.5 (30.2 - 53.9)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

30.17

37.48

53.88

What was the final result?30.6

Community Baseline Score

6.9

Community Peer Score

37.0

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

jonathannankivell

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

‘Yo-yo’ weight loss occurs because of this surprising reason

FOX News•Dec 16, 2024

New study finds first US obesity decline in 10 years. Is Ozempic a leading factor?

USA Today•Dec 17, 2024

I ate nothing but red meat for a year... here's why the health experts are so wrong

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

59.7%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jonathannankivell

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

‘Yo-yo’ weight loss occurs because of this surprising reason

FOX News•Dec 16, 2024

New study finds first US obesity decline in 10 years. Is Ozempic a leading factor?

USA Today•Dec 17, 2024

I ate nothing but red meat for a year... here's why the health experts are so wrong

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

59.7%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What percentage of people who sign up for the SMTM potato study will complete all 4 weeks of the diet?

Make a Prediction

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

Comments

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?

The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs

Will the finding in Bastian et al. (2012) that meat consumption is related to the denial of minds replicate?

Will a small molecule GLP-1-based drug be approved for the treatment of obesity by the FDA or EMA by 2029?