Question
When (if ever) will the Arctic be essentially ice-free?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction2040-07-13 (2035-05-14 - 2040-07-13)
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CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2020-07-13 | 1.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | May 2035 | — |
| median | >Jul 2040 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jul 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2040-07-13 | 57.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 5, 2018
Closed:Jul 23, 2018
Scheduled resolution:Sep 30, 2100
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 5, 2018
Closed:Jul 23, 2018
Scheduled resolution:Sep 30, 2100
