Question

Will Lawrence v. Texas be overturned by 2030?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction17.3% (10% - 22%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17.3%

Authors:

alyssavance

Opened:

May 9, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Law

Politics

United States

Supreme Court of the US

Lawrence v. Texas

Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

What the US Supreme Court will consider when it rules on gender-affirming care for trans children

The Conversation•Feb 16, 2025

From Washington: States Rights, Transgender Care, & Term Limits

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

Student asks Supreme Court to say he can wear T-shirt saying 'There are only two genders'

USA Today•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?

0.2%

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?

17.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

alyssavance

Opened:

May 9, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Law

Politics

United States

Supreme Court of the US

Lawrence v. Texas

Fourteenth Amendment to the US Constitution

What the US Supreme Court will consider when it rules on gender-affirming care for trans children

The Conversation•Feb 16, 2025

From Washington: States Rights, Transgender Care, & Term Limits

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

Student asks Supreme Court to say he can wear T-shirt saying 'There are only two genders'

USA Today•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Obergefell v. Hodges be overturned by the US Supreme Court before 2030?

Will inter-racial marriage be banned in any US State by 2030?

0.2%

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?

17.5%