Question
Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023?
Resolved :No1%Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)
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Community Baseline Score
72.6
Community Peer Score
10.7
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
1.49M
Will the model weights of any AI system developed by a frontier AI lab be stolen or leaked before January 1, 2030?
Will a dense machine learning model with at least 100 trillion parameters be trained before 2026?
28%
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
1.49M
Will the model weights of any AI system developed by a frontier AI lab be stolen or leaked before January 1, 2030?
Will a dense machine learning model with at least 100 trillion parameters be trained before 2026?
28%