Question
Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters57
Community Prediction
1%
(1% - 1%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Baseline Score
72.6
Community Peer Score
10.7
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 6, 2022
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
1.44M
Will a dense machine learning model with at least 100 trillion parameters be trained before 2026?
28%
When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?
18 Nov 2024
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:May 5, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:May 6, 2022
How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?
1.44M
Will a dense machine learning model with at least 100 trillion parameters be trained before 2026?
28%
When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?
18 Nov 2024