Question

Will the weights of the 175B parameter model be made publicly available via a leak or hack by 2023?

Resolved :No

2 comments2

Total Forecasters57

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

72.6

Community Peer Score

10.7

median 1.0%mean 3.4%

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Business of AI

Artificial Intelligence

How many billions of parameters will the largest machine learning model trained before 2030 have?

2.43M

Will a dense machine learning model with at least 100 trillion parameters be trained before 2026?

28%

When will credible sources reveal the existence of something similar to DALL-E but significantly bigger?

2024-10-17

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Business of AI

Artificial Intelligence

Meta

OpenAI is reportedly struggling to improve its next big AI model. It's a warning for the entire AI industry.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

This Week in AI: Anthropic’s CEO talks scaling up AI and Google predicts floods

TechCrunch•Nov 14, 2024

OpenAI’s take on AI agents could come in January