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How many years after 2018 will the last human being be born?
15
34 comments
34
1d
1w
2m
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Total Forecasters
124
Community Prediction
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Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
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My Prediction
community
<500
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1M
...
...
...
...
...
29.8%
<500
17.52k
>1M
27.6%
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Background Info
Authors:
AdamK
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Natural Sciences
Social Sciences
Homo sapiens
Biology
Genetics
Evolutionary biology
Anthropology
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Authors:
AdamK
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Natural Sciences
Social Sciences
Homo sapiens
Biology
Genetics
Evolutionary biology
Anthropology
Submit Tags Feedback
News Match
No Humans Born In The 1800s Are Still Alive, But These 3 ‘Ultra Surviving’ Animals Are—Here’s Their Story
Forbes
•
Dec 16, 2024
A 50 thousand year-old love story between humans and Neanderthals
NPR Online News
•
Dec 16, 2024
Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030
Forbes
•
Dec 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
No Humans Born In The 1800s Are Still Alive, But These 3 ‘Ultra Surviving’ Animals Are—Here’s Their Story
Forbes
•
Dec 16, 2024
A 50 thousand year-old love story between humans and Neanderthals
NPR Online News
•
Dec 16, 2024
Elon Predicts One Million Humans Will Be Augmented By Neuralink By 2030
Forbes
•
Dec 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
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