Question

How many years after 2018 will the last human being be born?

34 comments34

Total Forecasters125

Community Prediction24.6k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<500

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1M

...

28.0%

500

24.6k

28.5%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Anthropology

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

2051-04

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

10.9B

When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?

2298-03

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Anthropology

Why scientists think there's a 'third state' beyond life and death that could explain so much. One neuroscientist reveals incredible near-death experience

Daily Mail•Oct 2, 2024

‘Highly likely’ a long-lost species will be brought back from dead before 2028

Independent•Oct 2, 2024

Leonard Hayflick: "I Never Said There is a Hayflick Limit for The Human Lifespan."

OpEdNews•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

2051-04

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

10.9B

When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?

2298-03

MetaculusM

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How many years after 2018 will the last human being be born?

Make a Prediction

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?

Comments

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?

If humanity goes extinct due to an AI catastrophe before 2300, when will the last human die?

How many biological humans will be alive on December 31, 2300, conditional on there being more than 500 Million?

When will the first biological human to live to the age of 1000 be born?