Question

When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction2365-10

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3000-01

...

2165-03

2365-10

3000-01

30.4%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Space

Technology

Outline of space science

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

10%

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

2244-01

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Space

Technology

Outline of space science

Planet Discovered Around Closest Single Star to Sun

Newsweek•Oct 1, 2024

Found: A Planet Orbiting The Closest Single Star To Our Sun

Forbes•Oct 1, 2024

Planet spotted orbiting Barnard's star just 6 light years away

New Scientist•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

10%

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

2244-01

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When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

Make a Prediction

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

Comments

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?