Question
When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction2422-12-25 (2156-10-14 - 3000-01-01)
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CDF
weight:
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>3000-01-01
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2156-10-14 12:21
2422-12-25 17:25
>3000-01-01 00:00
29.4%
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2022
Closes:Apr 5, 2063
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2022
Closes:Apr 5, 2063
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000