Question

When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters62

Community Prediction2351-01-15 (2145-10-30 - 3000-01-01)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>3000-01-01

...

2145-10-30 03:25

2351-01-15 15:49

>3000-01-01 00:00

27.8%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Are You Looking Back In Time When You Look At The Stars?

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Parker Solar Probe will soon go deeper into the sun than ever before

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

NASA’s Voyager Probes Find Puzzles beyond the Solar System

Scientific American•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

10%

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

2244-01-02

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Are You Looking Back In Time When You Look At The Stars?

Forbes•Dec 14, 2024

Parker Solar Probe will soon go deeper into the sun than ever before

New Scientist•Dec 13, 2024

NASA’s Voyager Probes Find Puzzles beyond the Solar System

Scientific American•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

10%

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

2244-01-02

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When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?

Make a Prediction

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

Comments

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?

Will the maximum speed of a human spacecraft reach at least 66,000 km/s (0.22 times the speed of light) by 2075?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

When will a crewed spacecraft enter interstellar space for the first time?