Question
When will a living human first reach a distance of one light year from Earth?
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction2422-12-25 (2156-10-14 - 3000-01-01)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2156 | — |
| median | 2422 | — |
| upper 75% | >3000 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >3000-01-01 | 29.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2022
Closes:Apr 5, 2063
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:May 14, 2022
Closes:Apr 5, 2063
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 3000
