Question

Will the next assassination of a sitting US President occur after January 1, 2100?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters228

Community Prediction28%

Make a Prediction

community: 28.1%

median 28.1%mean 27.8%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Attempted assassination of Ronald Reagan

Assassination of Abraham Lincoln

Charles J. Guiteau

Assassination of James A. Garfield

Leon Czolgosz

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

10%

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

100%

How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?

80.5

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Attempted assassination of Ronald Reagan

Assassination of Abraham Lincoln

Charles J. Guiteau

Assassination of James A. Garfield

Leon Czolgosz

Bless Their Hearts: NY Times Holds Struggle Session After Trump Remains Unbowed by Assassination Attempts

Red State•Oct 1, 2024

So, a Secret Service Officer Shot Himself Last Week

Townhall•Oct 1, 2024

Jimmy Carter turns 100, the first former president to do so

CBS•Oct 1, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

10%

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

100%

How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?

80.5

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Will the next assassination of a sitting US President occur after January 1, 2100?

Make a Prediction

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?

Comments

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

Will a sitting US president not seek reelection before the 2080 election?

How many consecutive Presidents of the United States will there be?