Question

Will the next assassination of a sitting US President occur after January 1, 2100?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters228

Community Prediction28.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 28.1%

median 28.1%mean 27.8%

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Attempted assassination of Ronald Reagan

Assassination of Abraham Lincoln

Charles J. Guiteau

Assassination of James A. Garfield

Leon Czolgosz

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

10%

When will the U.S. next have a President who serves two consecutive terms?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

17%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

AdamK

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Politics

Attempted assassination of Ronald Reagan

Assassination of Abraham Lincoln

Charles J. Guiteau

Assassination of James A. Garfield

Leon Czolgosz

Psychic makes chilling claim about Trump and his plans to release the JFK files: 'Deep state plot'

Daily Mail•Nov 13, 2024

The Day after the November 22 Healing Ceremony and Beyond

OpEdNews•Nov 13, 2024

Melania Trump questions 'whether Jill's concern was genuine' following Trump assassination attempt

FOX News•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will it be confirmed that Lee Harvey Oswald acted with co-conspirators in the assassination of President Kennedy before November 23, 2063?

10%

When will the U.S. next have a President who serves two consecutive terms?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

17%