Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Gotabaya Rajapaksa no longer be the President of Sri Lanka before 2023?

Resolved :Yes99%
6
28
Total Forecasters73
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
11.3
Community Peer Score
0.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Verity
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Gotabaya Rajapaksa
Rajapaksa family
Parliament of Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka Armed Forces
Mahinda Rajapaksa
Sri Lanka

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