Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022?

Resolved :No1%
9
8
Total Forecasters68
Community Prediction1% (1% - 6.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
41.3
Community Peer Score
2.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2022 Leaderboard
Elizabeth II
United Kingdom
Edward VIII
Edward VIII abdication crisis
Commonwealth realm

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