Question

Will Queen Elizabeth II abdicate in 2022?

Resolved :No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters68

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

41.3

Community Peer Score

2.7

median 1.0%mean 6.3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Edward VIII abdication crisis

Commonwealth realm

Will King Charles III abdicate the throne of the United Kingdom before September 9, 2032?

14%

Will any part of Great Britain be under monarchy in 2075?

66%

Will Belgium, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain and Sweden all have Queens regnant simultaneously before the year 2100?

53.5%

Comments

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