Question

Will the US Government designate Russia a "State Sponsor of Terrorism" by 2023?

Resolved :No

27 comments27

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

37.6

Community Peer Score

19.9

median 1.0%mean 4.2%

Authors:

satisficer

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Verity

Geopolitics

Politics

US Department of State

State Sponsors of Terrorism (U.S. list)

Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

10%

Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024?

Will Russia recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

67%

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