Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election?

7
26
Total Forecasters98
Community Prediction269 (245 - 293)

Make a Prediction

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
244.6
268.6
292.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closed:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
President of the US
US Electoral College
US Congress
2024 Elections (US)
Republican Party (US)

Comments

? comments