Question

How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters98

Community Prediction269

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

244.6

268.6

292.6

Authors:

Jgalt

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Republican Party (US)

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

45%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%

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Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Republican Party (US)

Hemingway: Trump's GOP Biggest Electoral College Win Since 80s

Federalist•Nov 12, 2024

Republicans Projected To Win House, Complete 2024 Sweep

Daily Wire•Nov 12, 2024

How blue states could lose decisive number of electoral votes to red states in next Census

AlterNet•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives?

99.9%

Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?

45%

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

35%