Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will there be at least 500 million Americans?

14
30
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction2114-07-02 (2080-09-08 - 2121-01-01)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2121-01-01
...
...
...
...
2080-09-08 03:16
2114-07-02 22:52
>2121-01-01 00:00
46.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Politics
Social Sciences
Matthew Yglesias
Americans
United States
US Census Bureau

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