Question

Will the United States place restrictions on compute capacity before 2050?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters101

Community Prediction41.9% (22.1% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 41.9%

Authors:

haukurth

Opened:

May 21, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Regulation of AI

Verity

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Export of cryptography from the United States

Cryptography

United States

Google says U.S. is facing a power capacity crisis in AI race against China

NBC•Feb 13, 2025

Here’s How We Can Power the AI Boom Without Building a Ton of New Gas Plants – Mother Jones

Mother Jones•Feb 13, 2025

Data center tweaks could unlock 76 GW of new power capacity in the U.S.

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026?

Human/Machine Intelligence Parity by 2040? → US Compute Capacity Restrictions before 2050?

US restricts compute before 2026? → Date AIs Capable of Developing AI Software

Comments

? comments