Question

How many human infections of monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide?

78 comments78

Total Forecasters218

Community Prediction104k

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This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>500M

...

80.3k

103.5k

160.3k

0.3%

Authors:

Gaia Tamay

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

World Health Organization

Spain

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

22.2k

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

9.3%

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

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