Question

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

Resolved :Yes

41 comments41

Total Forecasters143

Community Prediction60%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-13.4

Community Peer Score

3.7

median 60.0%mean 66.7%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Public Health Emergency of International Concern

Mpox: America reports first case of new form of rare disease

Independent•Nov 17, 2024

U.S. confirms first case of more aggressive strain of mpox

NBC•Nov 17, 2024

Mpox strain identified for first time in US, health officials say

USA Today•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

9.3%

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

22.3k

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

Comments

? comments