Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will WHO declare the spread of monkeypox a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2023?

Resolved :Yes60%
27
41
Total Forecasters143
Community Prediction60% (51% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 60%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-13.4
Community Peer Score
3.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Mpox (Monkeypox)
Health & Pandemics
2022 Leaderboard
Italy
Virology
Portugal
Public Health Emergency of International Concern
AIDS in Africa
United Kingdom
Public health
COVID-19
Sweden

Comments

? comments