Question

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?

Resolved :395376

21 comments21

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction376 (322 - 440)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>100k

...

322

376.3

439.8

0.1%

What was the final result?395

Community Baseline Score

50.4

Community Peer Score

21.1

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Spain

Infectious disease

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Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Bird Flu Update: Map Reveals States Where Cases Rising

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

CDC Confirms First US Case of Severe Bird Flu

Wired•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

World Health Organization

Spain

Infectious disease

Mysterious illness which leaves women and teenage girls 'shaking uncontrollably' spreads through Uganda leaving doctors baffled

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

Bird Flu Update: Map Reveals States Where Cases Rising

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

CDC Confirms First US Case of Severe Bird Flu

Wired•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

What will be the total number of confirmed and suspected monkeypox cases in the United States as of July 1, 2022?

Make a Prediction

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

Comments

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Will the 2024 mpox outbreak exceed the 2022-2023 outbreak in confirmed cases?