Question

How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?

Resolved :2928.1

26 comments26

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction28.1 (27 - 29.5)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

27.03

28.11

29.5

What was the final result?29

Community Baseline Score

22.1

Community Peer Score

46.2

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Bird Flu Update: Map Reveals States Where Cases Rising

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

CDC Confirms First US Case of Severe Bird Flu

Wired•Dec 19, 2024

US identifies 65-year-old in Louisiana as first severe case of bird flu

Al Jazeera•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Bird Flu Update: Map Reveals States Where Cases Rising

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

CDC Confirms First US Case of Severe Bird Flu

Wired•Dec 19, 2024

US identifies 65-year-old in Louisiana as first severe case of bird flu

Al Jazeera•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

23.9k

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

1.09

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How many states in the United States will report having a case of monkeypox as of July 1, 2022?

Make a Prediction

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Comments

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?

Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025?

What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year?

If at least 100 human cases of Clade I mpox are confirmed in the United States in 2024, what will the estimated case fatality rate (in percent) be in the US?