Question

Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?

Resolved :No21%

14 comments14

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction21% (16% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 21%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

51.1

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9.6

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Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Astronomers are baffled as a giant star 150 times bigger than the Sun is spotted HICCUPING

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Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

38%

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

Greg

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Astronomers are baffled as a giant star 150 times bigger than the Sun is spotted HICCUPING

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

How to catch a supernova explosion before it happens – and what we can learn from it

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

Dark comets, a cross between asteroids and comets, may be common in our solar system

CNN•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

38%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?

Make a Prediction

Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

Comments

Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects

Will the eventual consensus explanation of star KIC 8462852 variability be an intervening molecular cloud?

By 2100, will 2 national space agencies conclude that an interstellar object in our solar system has a non-human artificial origin?

The ʻOumuamua Paradox and the Nature of Interstellar Objects