M

Question

Will a consensus explanation of the strange behavior of the star KIC 8462852 emerge this year?

Resolved :No21%
Community Prediction21.2%33.4%45.6%57.8%Apr 02Apr 06Apr 10Apr 14Apr 18Apr 22Apr 26Apr 30May 04May 08May 12May 16May 20May 24May 28now
Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction21% (16% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 21%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
51.1
Community Peer Score
9.6
Authors:
Opened:Mar 1, 2016
Closes:Jun 1, 2016
Resolves:Jan 1, 2017

Comments

? comments

We use cookies 🍪 to understand how you use Metaculus and to improve your experience.

Learn more about how we use cookies in our Privacy Policy