Question

In what year will world energy consumption first exceed 130% of every prior year?

12 comments12

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction2082-08

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2201-01

...

2040-12

2082-08

2196-03

24.5%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Our World in Data

World energy consumption

Earth

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

Gross domestic product

In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?

2051-03

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

295k

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

Our World in Data

World energy consumption

Earth

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Philosophy

Gross domestic product

In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?

2051-03

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

295k

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

34%

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In what year will world energy consumption first exceed 130% of every prior year?

Make a Prediction

In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

Comments

In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?

In which year will the world's real GDP first exceed 130% of its highest level from any previous year?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Will there be a 4 year interval in which world output doubles before 2050?