Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Governor Newsom be Reelected Governor of California in 2022?

Resolved :Yes99%
3
12
Total Forecasters95
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
91.0
Community Peer Score
9.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
chipsie
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2022 Leaderboard
Gavin Newsom
California
2022 California gubernatorial election

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