Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Elizabeth Kim win the Democratic primary for New York's 10th congressional district in 2022?

Resolved :No1%
6
34
Total Forecasters81
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
92.0
Community Peer Score
21.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Matthew_Barnett
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2022 Leaderboard
US House of Representatives
Democratic Party (US)
Elizabeth Kim
New York's 10th congressional district

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