📖 The ACX 2025 Prediction Contest Is Open!

The Astral Codex Ten Prediction Contest is back with an expanded $10,000 prize pool! Test your forecasting skills across geopolitics, technology, economics, and more with questions curated by Scott Alexander. Make your predictions by January 31 to compete.

🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the President of the United States be a member of the Republican Party throughout the entirety of next two presidential terms (spanning 2025-2033)?

10
14
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction40% (31.2% - 57%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%
Authors:
Wombat
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Elections
President of the US
US Electoral College
2024 Elections (US)
2020 US presidential election
Republican Party (US)
2024 Russian presidential election

Comments

? comments