Question

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters272

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 93.8%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Existential risk from AGI

Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?

99%

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

96%

When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Existential risk from AGI

Super Intelligent AI Might Be Online by 2025. Not Terrified? You Should Be

Red State•Nov 13, 2024

Those bold AGI predictions are suddenly looking stretched

Business Insider•Nov 17, 2024

Ben Affleck Discussing Future of Hollywood Goes Viral

Newsweek•Nov 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?

99%

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

96%