Question

Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?

69 comments69

Total Forecasters400

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 95.7%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics

Ethics

Artificial intelligence

Existential risk from AGI

AGI

New York University

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

99%

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

96%

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

85%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Robotics

Ethics

Artificial intelligence

Existential risk from AGI

AGI

New York University

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

99%

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

96%

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

85%

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Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

Comments

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?

Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?

Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?

Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?