Question
Will AI be able to read a novel and reliably answer questions about it before 2030?
Total Forecasters402
Community Prediction99% (99% - 99.9%)
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Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?
99%
Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?
96%
Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?
90%
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will AI be able to watch a movie and tell you accurately what is going on before 2030?
99%
Will more than two of Gary Marcus' proposed AI achievements come to pass before 2030?
96%
Will an AI be able to take arbitrary proofs from the mathematical literature and convert them into a symbolic form suitable for verification before 2030?
90%