Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Boris Johnson be Prime Minister of the UK on January 1, 2023?

Resolved :No1%
19
85
Total Forecasters341
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
78.4
Community Peer Score
16.8
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Conservative Party (UK)
1922 Committee
Prime Minister of the UK
Boris Johnson

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