Question

Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?

Resolved :Yes

22 comments22

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction85%

Make a Prediction

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

57.6

Community Peer Score

2.2

median 85.0%mean 84.1%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 United States Senate elections

Tim Ryan (Ohio politician)

Rob Portman

Republican Party (US)

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

18%

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 United States Senate elections

Tim Ryan (Ohio politician)

Rob Portman

Republican Party (US)

KFile: Before his MAGA conversion, Vance indicated that Biden won the 2020 election legitimately

CNN•Oct 9, 2024

Vance’s Midwestern roots appeal to Michigan swing-county voters despite Buckeye ties

FOX News•Oct 10, 2024

Poll shows Republican voters are tired of Trump and much prefer JD Vance

Independent•Oct 10, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

18%