Question

Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?

Resolved :Yes85%

22 comments22

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction85% (80% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

57.6

Community Peer Score

2.2

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 United States Senate elections

Tim Ryan (Ohio politician)

Rob Portman

Republican Party (US)

Tim Ryan

Mitt Romney names who he thinks will be the GOP's 2028 presidential nominee

FOX News•Dec 16, 2024

The 'Kinder, Gentler' JD Vance

Red State•Dec 15, 2024

Democrat Sherrod Brown says US Senate departure won’t be the last Ohioans hear from him

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

25%

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

23%

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

2022 United States Senate elections

Tim Ryan (Ohio politician)

Rob Portman

Republican Party (US)

Tim Ryan

Mitt Romney names who he thinks will be the GOP's 2028 presidential nominee

FOX News•Dec 16, 2024

The 'Kinder, Gentler' JD Vance

Red State•Dec 15, 2024

Democrat Sherrod Brown says US Senate departure won’t be the last Ohioans hear from him

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

25%

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

23%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?

Make a Prediction

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

Comments

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?

Will J.D. Vance become President of the United States before January 20, 2029?

Will the Vice President be sworn in as President after January 21, 2025 and before January 14, 2029?

Will Blake Masters be President of the United States before 2070?