Question

Will J.D. Vance win the 2022 United States Senate election in Ohio?

Resolved :Yes85%

22 comments22

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction85% (80% - 90%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

57.6

Community Peer Score

2.2

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jun 5, 2022

Closes:

Nov 8, 2022

Resolves:

Dec 9, 2022

2022 United States Senate elections

Tim Ryan (Ohio politician)

Rob Portman

Republican Party (US)

Tim Ryan

Ramaswamy’s expected run for Ohio governor would test experienced Republicans and tradition

Associated Press•Jan 26, 2025

Vance's political team signs on to run Vivek Ramaswamy's bid for Ohio governor

NBC•Jan 27, 2025

Top JD Vance political advisors to steer Ramaswamy run for Ohio governor

FOX News•Jan 28, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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