Question

Will Russian or Belarusian troops cross the land border between Belarus and either the Volyn or Rivne oblasts before 2023?

Resolved :No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters93

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

67.3

Community Peer Score

10.7

median 1.0%mean 1.9%

Authors:

CivilMarigold

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Map Shows Putin's Top Target as Russia 'Amassing 50K Troops' in Kursk

Newsweek•Nov 11, 2024

10_Ukraine rushes to reinforce eastern front as pressure mounts

Korea Herald•Nov 12, 2024

Ukraine hoped to force Russia to pick between 2 fronts. Putin chose both.

Business Insider•Nov 12, 2024

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