Question

Will Google's AlphaGo beat Go player Lee Sedol in March 2016?

Resolved :Yes

32 comments32

Total Forecasters116

Community Prediction64%

Make a Prediction

community: 64%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

32.4

Community Peer Score

8.0

median 64.0%mean 56.3%

Authors:

jimrandomh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Sports & Entertainment

Technology

Artificial intelligence

Technology

Computer science

AlphaGo

AlphaGo versus Lee Sedol

Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?

Will conventional pre-LLM GOFAI (graph search, tree search, game play or symbolic logic) be a part of the top-ranked AI in the 2024 Abstraction & Reasoning Corpus (ARC) competition?

50%

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jimrandomh

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Sports & Entertainment

Technology

Artificial intelligence

Technology

Computer science

AlphaGo

AlphaGo versus Lee Sedol

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?

Will conventional pre-LLM GOFAI (graph search, tree search, game play or symbolic logic) be a part of the top-ranked AI in the 2024 Abstraction & Reasoning Corpus (ARC) competition?

50%

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%