Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Blake Masters win the 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona?

Resolved :No40%
7
62
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction40% (35% - 45%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 40%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
35.0
Community Peer Score
9.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
2022 United States Senate elections
Blake Masters
2008 Arizona Republican primary
Donald Trump

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