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🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Group

How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?

5
85

Make a Prediction

TBD group labelresolution
25thmedian75th
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>400k
157k
168k
183k
0.6%

What was the final result?189k

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Metaculus
Metaculus
Greenwich Mean Time

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