M

Group

How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?

5
84
164 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Dateresolution
Date25thmedian75th

PDF

CDF

lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>400k
157.2k
168.1k
183.1k
0.6%

What was the final result?161k

Community Baseline Score
37.1
Community Peer Score
20.2

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2018
Closes:Sep 30, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Oct 1, 2030

Comments

? comments