Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates?

5
84
164 forecasters

Make a Prediction

Dateresolution
Date25thmedian75th
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>400k
157.2k
168.1k
183.1k
0.6%

What was the final result?161k

Community Baseline Score
37.1
Community Peer Score
20.2
Learn more about scores here.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

Comments

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