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How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024?

Forecast Timeline

25,000

50,000

100,000

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Candidates		My Prediction		Me
25,000	yes

50,000	ambiguous

100,000	ambiguous

Community Baseline Score

28.4

Community Peer Score

12.8

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Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

55%

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025?

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Russia is set to lose over 1,000 troops a day through the winter as it fights a war on three fronts: UK MOD

Business Insider•Oct 8, 2024

Russia suffers its worst month of front line losses in Ukraine as 'meat grinder' tactics see 1,271 soldiers killed or seriously injured per day

Daily Mail•Oct 8, 2024

Russian casualties have topped 600,000 in Ukraine war, US says

Defense One•Oct 10, 2024

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Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

55%