Question

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters137

Community Prediction2025-01-01 (2025-01-01 - 2025-01-01)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2025-01-01

...

>2025-01-01 00:00

91.6%

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Authors:

juancambeiro

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Biosecurity Tournament

Health & Pandemics

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Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

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Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

Health & Pandemics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Latest Symptoms of COVID-19: New Strain Presents Like the Common Cold

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Predictive Analysis: Pandemic 2.0 Will Drop Early in Trump Term

PJ Media•Dec 13, 2024

Increasing Public Criticism, Confusion Over COVID-19 Response in U.S.

•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

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When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

Make a Prediction

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Comments

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Forecasting Coronavirus Variant Omicron

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?