Question

Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters141

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 4.5%

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

59%

When will an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor be commercially available?

2025-11-28

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

8.4%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Biosecurity Tournament

NASA awards ‘sustainable’ aircraft concepts $11.5M

TechCrunch•Nov 13, 2024

Amazon takes on Temu and Shein with discount ‘Amazon Haul’ store

TechCrunch•Nov 14, 2024

Amazon’s new $20 and under store is here to challenge Shein and Temu

Verge•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2032, will at least $30 billion (2021 USD) in new funding be authorized via new legislation toward US pandemic preparedness?

59%

When will an airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus monitor be commercially available?

2025-11-28

Will a high fidelity fermentation test that costs under $10 be commercially available before 2035?

8.4%