🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?

8
4
Total Forecasters103
Community Prediction4.3 (2.32 - 6.85)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>40
...
...
...
...
2.323
4.303
6.846
0.1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
juancambeiro
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Biosecurity Tournament
Health & Pandemics
Natural Sciences
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Safety
Biosecurity
Public health
Biosafety level
Microbiology
US Department of Health and Human Services

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