Question
How many high-risk laboratory biosecurity incidents will occur between 2022 and 2026 (inclusive)?
Total Forecasters103
Community Prediction4.25 (2.28 - 6.8)
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CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.281 | — |
| median | 4.246 | — |
| upper 75% | 6.8 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >40 | 0.1% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2022
Closed:Jan 10, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
