Question

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Resolved :No0.2%

17 comments17

Total Forecasters174

Community Prediction0.2% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

28.4

Community Peer Score

18.6

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Jun 9, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

Biosecurity Tournament

Geopolitics

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

2021-2025 Leaderboard

European Council

World Health Assembly

World Health Organization

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Guardian•Jan 27, 2025

‘Moral imperative’: WHO presses China to share COVID origins data

Al Jazeera•Jan 27, 2025

There’s Still Time to Get Ahead of the Next Global Pandemic

Wired•Jan 28, 2025

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