Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Rick Caruso be elected Mayor of Los Angeles in 2022?

Resolved :No34.6%
7
7
Total Forecasters47
Community Prediction34.6% (33% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 34.6%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
35.2
Community Peer Score
10.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Democratic Party (US)
Politician
Republican Party (US)
Los Angeles
Karen Bass
Rick Caruso
University of Southern California
Los Angeles Board of Police Commissioners

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