Question

Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

Resolved :No

12 comments12

Total Forecasters90

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

86.0

Community Peer Score

8.0

median 2.0%mean 3.2%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Beto O'Rourke

Democratic Party (US)

2022 Texas gubernatorial election

Greg Abbott

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

95%

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

49%

If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Beto O'Rourke

Democratic Party (US)

2022 Texas gubernatorial election

Greg Abbott

Ted Cruz and Colin Allred wage another big US Senate fight in Texas

Associated Press•Oct 12, 2024

Ted Cruz and Colin Allred to meet in the only debate in the Texas Senate race

Associated Press•Oct 15, 2024

In Colin Allred, Ted Cruz once again facing a well-funded Democratic challenger in reelection fight

CNN•Oct 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election?

95%

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?

49%