Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Beto O'Rourke win the 2022 Texas gubernatorial election?

Resolved :No2%
7
12
Total Forecasters90
Community Prediction2% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
86.0
Community Peer Score
8.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2022 Leaderboard
Beto O'Rourke
Democratic Party (US)
2022 Texas gubernatorial election
Greg Abbott

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