Question
When will the Metaculus Community break its worst prediction record?
Resolved :Ambiguous2025-01-17Total Forecasters4
Community Prediction2025-01-17 (2023-12-04 - 2029-01-14)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Dec 2023 | — |
| median | Jan 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | Jan 2029 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2039-12-31 | 6.9% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jun 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 18, 2022
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Resolves:Jan 1, 2040