🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

6
2
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction25.5% (20% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 25.5%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Physics
Fault tolerance
Electronics
Quantum mechanics
Quantum computing
Information technology
Quantum error correction
Quantum threshold theorem

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