Question

Will we be able to tolerate a 5% physical error rate in quantum computing by 2032?

Community Prediction25%50%75%Mar 04Mar 08Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Apr 01Apr 05Apr 09Apr 13Apr 17Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29now
Total Forecasters17
Community Prediction
25.5%
(20% - 85%)

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50%
community: 25.5%
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Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 18, 2022

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