Metaculus
M
Questions
Tournaments
Leaderboards
News
More
create
Log in
a
/
文
Group
What percent of UK will have long-COVID (12 weeks after infection) on the following dates?
2
4 comments
4
16 forecasters
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters
0
1d
1w
2m
all
December 31, 2022
December 31, 2023
Make a Prediction
Date
resolution
December 31, 2022
3.1
December 31, 2023
Annulled
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>12
2.494
3.19
3.983
0.1%
What was the final result?
3.1
Community Baseline Score
62.1
Community Peer Score
6.7
Additional Scores
Learn more about scores
here
.
Background Info
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Virology
Office for National Statistics (UK)
United Kingdom
Public health
COVID-19
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology
Infectious disease
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Comments
Log in
? comments
recent
Load more comments
Follow
embed
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Health & Pandemics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2022-2023 Leaderboard
Virology
Office for National Statistics (UK)
United Kingdom
Public health
COVID-19
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Epidemiology
Infectious disease
Show more tags
Submit Tags Feedback
Similar Questions
What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?
2.01
How many whooping cough cases will New Zealand report for weeks 51 and 52?
257
When, before April 27, 2025, will the KP lineage constitute less than 50% of the COVID-19 variants monitored in the US?
2024-11-25
Show More Questions
Similar Questions
What will be the combined maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people relative to the maximum weekly rate of the peak disease in the 2024-25 season?
2.01
How many whooping cough cases will New Zealand report for weeks 51 and 52?
257
When, before April 27, 2025, will the KP lineage constitute less than 50% of the COVID-19 variants monitored in the US?
2024-11-25
Show More Questions
News Match
Five years on from the pandemic, long COVID keeps lives on hold
Raw Story
•
Dec 16, 2024
Black adults with long COVID report higher levels of hopelessness and suicidal thoughts − new research
The Conversation
•
Dec 16, 2024
COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US
Newsweek
•
Dec 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch
News Match
Five years on from the pandemic, long COVID keeps lives on hold
Raw Story
•
Dec 16, 2024
Black adults with long COVID report higher levels of hopelessness and suicidal thoughts − new research
The Conversation
•
Dec 16, 2024
COVID: Updated CDC Map Reveals Infection Rates Across US
Newsweek
•
Dec 17, 2024
Show More News
Learn more
about Metaculus NewsMatch