Question

When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective?

Resolved :Oct 2, 2023

10 comments10

Total Forecasters55

Community Prediction2025-01-24

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2033-01-01

...

2024-01-31 05:24

2025-01-24 09:42

2026-07-27 23:02

4.4%

What was the final result?Oct 2, 2023

Community Baseline Score

19.0

Community Peer Score

25.3

Authors:

juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Biosecurity Tournament

Phases of clinical research

World Health Organization

Microbiology

RTS,S

Fears for spread of malaria in Africa as study finds resistance to frontline drug

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Measles is debilitating and deadly, and cases are surging, WHO and CDC warn

CNN•Nov 15, 2024

WHO warns of measles resurgence as cases exceed 10 million in 2023

Al Jazeera•Nov 15, 2024

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Before 2032, will a vaccine against HIV-1 be approved by the USA, UK, EU, or Canada?

75%

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