Question
When will WHO recommend widespread use of a malaria vaccine that is >75% effective?
Resolved :Oct 2, 20232025-01-24Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction2025-01-24 (2024-01-31 - 2026-07-27)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2033-01-01
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2024-01-31 05:24
2025-01-24 09:42
2026-07-27 23:02
4.4%
What was the final result?Oct 2, 2023
Community Baseline Score
19.0
Community Peer Score
25.3
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 10, 2025
Resolves:Jan 10, 2025
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2022
Closes:Jan 10, 2025
Resolves:Jan 10, 2025
