Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Group

Who will win the next UK Conservative Party leadership election?

22
138
182 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 0

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Tom Tugendhat
no
Liz Truss
yes
Rishi Sunak
no
Michael Gove
no
Jeremy Hunt
no
Priti Patel
no
Boris Johnson
no
Penny Mordaunt
no
Steve Baker
no
Suella Braverman
no
Grant Shapps
no
Sajid Javid
no
Ben Wallace
no
Dominic Raab
no
Nadhim Zahawi
no
Kemi Badenoch
no
Resolved Sep 5, 2022
Community Baseline Score
94.8
Community Peer Score
3.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2022 Leaderboard
Conservative Party (UK)
Rishi Sunak
Jeremy Hunt
Tom Tugendhat
Grant Shapps
Boris Johnson
Sajid Javid
Steve Baker (politician)
Nadhim Zahawi

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