🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

51
418
1229 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Donald Trump
yes
Nikki Haley
no
Ron DeSantis
no
Tucker Carlson
no
Mike Pence
no
Ted Cruz
no
Donald Trump Jr.
no
Liz Cheney
no
Chris Christie
no
Vivek Ramaswamy
no
Asa Hutchinson
no
Tim Scott
no
Larry Elder
no
Doug Burgum
no
Francis Suarez
no
Will Hurd
no
Glenn Youngkin
no
Resolved Jul 15, 2024
Community Baseline Score
-17.9
Community Peer Score
64.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2021-2025 Leaderboard
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Tim Scott
Republican National Convention
Larry Elder
Francis X. Suarez
Mike Pence
Liz Cheney
2024 Elections (US)
Donald Trump

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