🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?

62
584
1163 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 649

Make a Prediction

CandidateMe
Kamala Harris
yes
Joe Biden
no
Gavin Newsom
no
Bernie Sanders
no
Gretchen Whitmer
no
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
no
Stacy Abrams
no
J. B. Pritzker
no
Pete Buttigieg
no
Hillary Clinton
no
Michelle Obama
no
Elizabeth Warren
no
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
no
Marianne Williamson
no
Dean Phillips
no
Cenk Uygur
no
Resolved Aug 21, 2024
Community Baseline Score
-192.0
Community Peer Score
-18.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Stacey Abrams
Democratic National Convention
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2024 Elections (US)
Joe Biden
Donald Trump
Dean Phillips
Pete Buttigieg
Gretchen Whitmer

Comments

? comments